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have just a 3% chance of winning the election. conversely, if barack obama lost ohio, he would only have an 8% chance of victory. that shows you just how incredibly important ohio may turn out to be. >> well, it's an important -- it's critical. it's a very diverse state. but you know, barack obama's very firm stand in saving the american automobile industry has paid important dividends in ohio. this morning i was in youngstown and youngstown, we produced the chevy cruz. that's a gm product that is the direct result of the president's intervention to bail out the automobile industry. >> as a former commander yourself, how do you think the president's done this week in terms of his role as commander in chief in what was really a national crisis? >> i think he's done extremely well in terms of his sympathy and empathy for the groups, his visit. i think he was smart not to go into new york city, where it's too congested, too many problems. i think he's also done well in terms of showing the power of the office by just the latest move of having the military assist in delivery of fuel. it
a dead even race in ohio. five points for obama. when they last tested here a number of weeks ago. shows momentum on romney side. the question is does he have momentum to push him perhaps 270. >> bret: quick answer of impact of the storm, hurricane sandy and what it means for the race? >> could it mean -- i think it's freezing the race. it's hard for either romney or obama to break through with new, with some new initiative while everybody is focused on sandy. i don't think it affects the turnout. >> bret: karl? >> it could effect turn-out. people affected by this; particularly, people unable to cope with it might be less likely to turn out. let's see when the storm hits. when it passes. if people can put themselves back together. the other thing is it will push the campaigning further west. we will see more appearances in iowa, colorado, nevada, wisconsin, western ohio than we would have seen otherwise in fewer appearances and florida. fewer appearances in places like virginia and pennsylvania. eastern ohio. >> bret: last thing, quickly. we had an ipad app that people can put in their m
in the key state of ohio. today the latest cnn poll shows obama with a very slight edge there, but there's everything to play for. today, the last jobs report before election day was released. unemployment ticking up to 7.9%, but at the same time, 171,000 jobs were created. no surprise, both candidates reacted differently to the news. >> today, our businesses have created nearly five and a half million new jobs. this morning we learned that companies hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> he said he was going to lower the unemployment rate down to 5.2% right now. today, we learned that it's actually 7.9% and that's nine million jobs short of what he promised. unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. >> mitt romney earlier today. you're looking at live pictures now from westchester in ohio, where rudy giuliani, the former mayor of new york, has given a blistering speech attacking barack obama. in a few minutes, he will be on this show live and exclusive to tell me why he feels so strongly why the president should leave the offic
in the unemployment rate president obama pumped up ohio this morning. >> the president: today our businesses created nearly 5 1/2 million new jobs. companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. >> reporter: the president admits there is more work to be done. but says this is a pattern of real progress that includes a stronger auto industry, thanks to his bailout. romney is ing the numbers another way at a rally in wisconsin this morning he said the report is a sad reminder that the economy is at a virtual standstill. >> he said he was going to lower the unemployment rate down to 5.2%. today it is 7.9% and that's nine million jobs short of what he promised. unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. >> reporter: some say the report could have been a tipping point in the election. matt dowd says it is too late to sway voters. >> the last six months in the economy are baked in the perceptions. >> reporter: mitt romney has scheduled a last minute stop sunday his advisers say the president is losing support in pennsylvania. president obama's camp sa
a very tight race in the must-win state of ohio. president obama is at 50% and mitt romney is at 46%. i'm joined now by gloria borger and ryan lizza. thanks, guys. who's got the edge right now and we're getting closer and closer. >> it's hard to say. our head is exploding with all of these polls. but if you look at our -- let's take the state of ohio, which is of course so key to both campaigns. it's hard to see how romney would win the presidency without winning ohio, although they now say they could. although if you look at the internals you see what you've been seeing all along. president obama is up with women about 12 points, mitt romney up with men by 8 points. romney has made some in roads in suburban areas, but in our poll, the president is up with independent voters by about 5 points. what romney needs to keep doing, to get the momentum or to continue a momentum that he had after the first debate is to get those voters out in the suburban areas, married women in particular, that could make the difference for him in the state of ohio, which is so key. but as for overall momentum
reasons. the first, president obama comes to ohio and likes to take credit for getting our state back on track. but we know that's not true. it's the work that the governor and i have done with all of you to balance our budget and get our state back on track. we didn't raise taxes, we cut taxes. [applause] here is my second reason and this one is personal for me. my youngest son is 18-year-old and he voted for the first time this year in a presidential election. a couple of weeks ago before a friday night football game his friend were at our house and they were in his room and i decided i wonder when they're talking about, girls, the football game t next concert they're going to go to, maybe kid rock. but i went upstairs and i was listening outside the door and they didn't know i was there. they were talking about this election because they know their future is is riding on four more days. if i could talk to the women in the audience. and i see there are just a few women here tonight. you know the democrats have talked a lot lately about this war on women. let me tell you what i think
here in lima, ohio. obama campaign officials are talking up their early voting program, years in the making. with republicans more reliable election day voters, the argument goes, democrats have built up a bank of early votes, ones that make wink those battleground states a tougher challenge for romney. obama campaign officials argue polls of early voters in battleground states suggest their bank of obama votes means that romney will have to win on election day well more than half the votes in key states to win. but the president is not relying solely on early voting or even on this new rekindled bipartisan pitch. in this state alone, diane, president obama and his allies have run 16,000 more ads than romney and his allies. and if that's not enough for you, on monday, president obama will be back here in ohio with bruce springsteen. diane? >> okay, thank you jake. >>> and also tonight, the latest in our brand new daily abc news/"washington post" polls. tonight, the poll gives mitt romney a one-point edge. so, we asked abc's david muir to tell us his strategy for the final stre
, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the republicomney campaign is s is. republicans told me earlier this week that last week, their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. you might say it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most credible when it comes to numbers when you match them up against other evidence? >> one of the things that the romney campaign was suggesting, just about an hour ago on a conference call that they had, the romney pollst
, president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. >> and we need real change. >> another $5 trillion tax cut that favors the wealthy, that's not change. >> president obama has tried to convince folks that these last four years have been a success. >> by the way, when you try to change the facts just because they're inconvenient to your campaign, that's definitely not change. >> he wants to take all the ideas from the first term, you know, the stimulus, the borrowing, obama care, all the rest, and then go back and do it all over again. >> you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know what i believe. >> we're four days away from a fresh start, four days away from the first day of a new be
seems pro-obama. pennsylvania will hold, ohio looks good but close, and all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. the huge question is turnout, that and rational self-interest. the young who believe in science, women who believe in protecting their rights, latinos who can see a brighter future with a supportive president all need to get out, show up, and vote. there's no reward for a failure. in a free society, a democratic society is a failure, deeply personal, you blew it if you don't vote. let's see where it stands. i'm joined by mother jones washington bureau chief david corn and joy reid. do you think i'm a little strong? >> no. >> i don't want to talk to anybody after this election if they haven't bothered to vote. with four days to go, president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want more
. >> laura, when i think about the obama campaign, ohio says we know we're going to win it. when i speak to republicans they say absolutely we're going antoine it. there's a lot more enthusiasm for mitt romney than there's been before. who am i to believe? >> nobody. i think the one thing that is true about ohio is that it's atypical in the sense that the president is doing badly amongst white men and white working-class men in particular around the country. although romney has been eroding the slight advantage here in ohio with white working class men, what helps the president here is that bailout of the auto industry because that is helping him with his key demographics. so if it really in the end is about ohio and the 18 votes here, then it may be that something has distorted the race here and helped the president. but nobody yet really even dares to call it. the one thing that both sides are saying very clearly is that early voting is very important. a quarter of the state has already voted and half may have vote bid polling day itself. traditionally early voting is the democrats, bu
and moss of this rhetoric. >> we are exhausted but i did see one hole in ohio that showed obama ahead by three points, but there was still 7% or 8% still undecided in this poll in ohio. i guess some people are still out there scratching their chins, thinking about what they're going to do. >> eliot: i was back when i was in the arena in that game ways skeptical that on the last weekend the undecided would even turn out. i would look at the raw nubs and say that's how it's going to break. i hope i'm not proven wrong, that the president will take ohio and be okay. do the job numbers matter politically? everyone was waiting. will they matter? >> yes i think they will matter. you know, around the margins, i don't think that the average americans who are more interested in this weekend's football games are sitting around obsessing about the jobs numbers and the readjustments from august and september the way you and i are. but i do think they matter. i think they that create a narrative that says this is a recovery. this is an economy that has been gaining 150 jobs per month this year, and
in the all-important state of ohio. president obama will be staying close to washington as he continues to monitor the developments of this storm. let's talk about ohio and why it is a particularly close race there. we asked likely voters who their choice was for president. barack obama has a 50% to 46% margin over mitt romney in this latest poll, which is why mitt romney and paul ryan are stu stumping there today after modifying their plans. they were going to be in virginia, but because of the storm now they're in ohio. as you see here, the two rally supporters just a short time ago in salina, ohio. they have both spent several days in the buckeye state and have more on their calendar. let's talk a little more about the direction of that state and the voting electrorate has your own new polling out this morning showing a dead heat there. obama and romney both pulling 49% of support out of likely voters. this is in line with that tightening national race according to a number of major polls. so why is, or is it your view, that ohio is kind of the microcosm of the country? >> ohio is, i
, ohio, right now. our brand new cnn/orc poll shows president obama with a narrow lead in that state 50% to mitt romney's 47%. that's within the sampling error making it still effectively a dead heat. our chief national correspondent john king is joining us right now. he's in ohio as well. john, take us inside these numbers. >> wolf, they are fascinating when you look deep in this poll. the president you just showed he's here in ohio. governor romney will be here tontd. they expect some 35,000 republicans at his rally. in this part of the state i'm in cincinnati tonight. when you look deep in our poll you see this one will be fought out through the last poll closing on election night. look at these two candidates among independents. governor romney with a slight edge 48% to 46%. again, that's a statistical tie well within the margin of error. the auto bailout is one of the things the president thinks will help him here in ohio. you heard him mention that in this speech. look at this in the industrial northern part of the state, across northern ohio where you have many auto-related direc
contributor. erin, give me a sense, is ohio pretty much obama territory now? >> we think that it is. and all of the national -- or excuse me, the ohio public polls show that, yes, president obama is leading. he lost a little bit of ground, but he's made that back up again. but one thing i would point out, chris, is that the obama campaign is seeing very different internal polling than the romney campaign is seeing and republicans told me earlier this week that last week their polls showed mitt romney up four to five points in ohio. by monday, mitt romney was leading president obama in these ohio republican internal polls by just one point. so they've seen his numbers go down. the obama campaign tells me that he's consistently led two to four points in their internal polling. so you might say that it's spin, but these two campaigns are seeing very different data and that's why they're arguing these cases that they are. >> do you trust these people that are giving you these numbers? i mean, are they just giving you numbers, or do you really believe them? which of these people are the most cred
in wisconsin romney headed to ohio where president obama is also campaigning today. recent polls show the president with a slight lead in ohio. but a new poll shows nationwide the race remains a virtual deadlock. the washington post tracking poll shows 49% of likely voters across the country support president obama. while 48% say they are voting for his challenger mitt romney. >>> new at noon community members in an east oakland neighborhood at this hour are celebrating the groundbreaking of a new business center development. the project promises about 100 new jobs for the community and would finally bring a grocery store to the neighborhood. new at noon ktvu's brian flores is at the event in mcought there boulevard in east oakland, good afternoon. >> reporter: hi, good afternoon to you as you can see behind me there is not much besides dirt and construction crews but in less than a year a new grocery store and business development is expected to arise here and give people new jobs and hopefully new hope. >>> just a few minutes ago city officials community members and business leaders
with the state i guess most people think may decide the race, that is ohio. the obama camp says they have the big edge in early voting in your state and also note that they have 137 campaign offices around the country, and the romney camp has only 39. >> well, chris, first of all, you mentioned the real clear politics average in ohio, 2.3%, in the president's favor and now it is 1.9%, actually because the polls are closing, the latest poll, by the ohio newspapers, showing the race a dead heat. and that is certainly what i feel. i also feel like momentum is on our side. i have been at 6 rallies over the last week and at about a dozen centers around the state and energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year and it is interesting to watch. but, we were down 5 to 10 points before the debates and after the debates, we are about dead even and it is moving our way. >> chris: senator warner, your state of virginia is right in the path of that huge storm. if you lose power, and, you could lose it for days, could it have an effect on early voting, and even have an effect on election day? >> well, chris,
, why the headline reads ohio's working class offer the key to obama's re-election. well, they're specifically talking about working white class middle class voters. you can tweet us. lendars. it's the last day you can switch your medicare part d plan. we're ready, and we can't wait to switch. what i wanted was simple: the most value for my dollar. so, now that it's time, we're making the move to a plan that really works for us. [ male announcer ] make the switch to an aarp medicarerx plan, insured through unitedhealthcare. open enrollment starts october 15th and ends december 7th. call now for a free information kit. you'll receive a summary of plan benefits and an enrollment form. discover why these part d plans are so popular with over 4 million plan members and counting. with predictable copays and plans with no annual deductible, you could start saving with your first prescription. plus, we'll be covered at like 60,000 pharmacies. so if we visit our kids in portland or go anywhere in the country, we know we're covered. [ male announcer ] the new preferred pharmacy network
obama said about these numbers this morning in ohio. >> today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs, and this morning we learned that companies hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> i want to talk about the economics and the politics of the report with our chief business correspondent ali velshi and john avalon. they're in ohio talking to the voters. ali, let's start with you since you have an economics, numbers guy here. >> yeah. >> we looked at this, and the economy stated by cnn money, they were twpg 125,000 jobs, so this number was higher at 171,000. so you have figures in august and september, also higher than we thought. what do we say about the overall growth and the health of the economy and the recovery? >> you and i talked about this before. i like the jobs creation or job loss numbers. the establishment survey more than i like the unemployment number. by the way, i feel the same way about it when it's low and when it's high. this is both ways. if you are mitt romney you get to say, the unemployment rate has gone hig
. part of why ohio's economy has bounced back is we did not let detroit go bankrupt. the obama administration bailed out the automobile industry. it's roared back to life and the big three are hiring again. yesterday mitt romney gave that obama administration success story a little mitt romney tickle. >> i saw a store today that one of the great manufacturers in this state is thinking of moving all production to china. >> wow. mr. romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automobile industry. it's been better. we saved everything here and that's why you have jobs, but don't get too comfy. i read they are moving all the jobs working for jeep. they are moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced they were adding 1100 new jobs in the u.s. here making jeeps in detroit. and chrysler says it could hire almost as many people at another plant in warren, michigan. chrysler is investing half a bi
. >> president obama is about to deliver his second speech of the day in ohio, in springfield and in the next hour, governor romney will be in aetna, ohio, an hour's drive away, 64 miles from the president. proof it is all about ohio with only days remaining on the campaign calendar. so joining me now for our daily fix, chris cizilla who hasn't had to walk or drive ney where today. msnbc contributor and managing editor of post politics.com and charlie cook dean of all the analysts, msnbc political analysts, founder of the cook report, our bible indeed. let me start with you, charlie, a couple days out where do you see the state of the race? >> well, i think that you've got about -- i don't buy the michigan nevada pennsylvania wisconsin are still in play. i don't think those outcomes are still in doubt. i think obama will win those four. we're really down to the last seven states and their 94 electoral votes and obama needs 17 out of 94 and romney needs 79 out of 94. when one candidate only needs 18% of the electoral votes in the toss up states and the other 84%, the odds are a lot better for
a look at this. president barack obama is campaigning in wisconsin, ohio and virginia today. while mitt romney is focusing on new hampshire, iowa and colorado. and of course, cnn is a place of complete election coverage. we don't know what is going to happen here, we have sandy and a very close race, all the candidates are focusing their attention in the battleground states. the hold, the surprise here, make sure you watch what happens, america's choice, count down, 8 eastern, only here on cnn. >>> and from the political end game to more now on that slow, steady recovery from superstorm sandy, emergency teams are still doing the grim work of finding sandy's victims. and as i said the death toll in the u.s. has risen to at least 106 people. many areas are still without power. and authorities warn that it could be a week, a week before they get it back. 2.7 million households in the dark. nearly 3 million. electricity not the only thing in short supply. gas lines are still a reality for people in new york and new jersey and millions of gallons of fuel are being trucked to those affected a
, president obama. right now in ohio. and he is in springfield, ohio, i think. and as i say he's all of our president, but he's your boss as a member of the cabinet. let's hear what he has to say. >> probable journey for more than two centuries and it's also guided us and carried us through the trials and tribulations of the last four years. in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today, our businesses have created 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned companies hired more workers in october than any time in the last eight months. the american auto industry is back on top. home values, housing starts are on the rise. we're less dependent on foreign oil than any time in the last 20 years. because of the service and sacrifice of our brave men and women in uniform the war in iraq is over, the war in afghanistan is ending, al qaeda has been decimated, osama bin laden is dead. [ applause ] >> we're on the move, ohio. we've made real progress these last four years. the reason all of you are here today, the reason i'm here toda
, north carolina, virginia, he could win. but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and jesse, in the latest about in news poll, colorado was tied. back to you. >> thank you very much, steve. >>> let's bring in our chief meteorologist jeff ranieri. and it's supposed to be beautiful. we're here. the weekend is here. >> i know, i know. this is good timing for a lot of us here as that doppler radar scans around, finding dry conditions across the greater northern california region. and one of the things that really helped to get all this sunshine in here, not only inland, but at the coast is this wind out of the north, and also slightly offshore about 5 to 10 miles per hour. that's all we needed to give us some 70s here across the bay area. 74 in concord right now. 75 in livermore, and 76 in santa rosa. and if you like, this as raj was hinting at, we're going to go even warmer. by this weekend, temperatures expected in the 80s for livermore and also in
in defiance, ohio, mitt romney gave that obama administration success story a little mitt romney esque tickle. >> i saw a story today that one of the great manufacturers in this state, now owned by the italians, is thinking of moving all production to china. >> wow. mr. romney saying, hey, don't get too comfy there, ohio, with the obama rescue of the automotive industry. i know it's been better. he saved everything here and that's why you have jobs and everything, but don't get too comfy, ohio, i read that they're moving all the jobs working for jeep. they're moving all the jeep jobs to china. he said that in ohio on the campaign trail 12 days before the election. and it is not true at all. the real jeep news that day was actually that chrysler announced it was adding 1100 new jobs in the u.s. here. making jeeps in detroit. jeep grand cherokees. and chrysler says it could hire almost as many people at another plant in warren, michigan. in ohio crisler is investing half a billion dollars in its toledo plant and hiring 1100 workers. but mitt romney got up that said defiance, ohio, and said he r
been canceled and even president obama isn't going to ohio tomorrow. he's going to let bill clinton, the former president campaign for him in youngstown, ohio instead. it looks like mitt romney is going to be hunkering down in ohio a state he needs to be better in. president obama is going to be stuck at the white house. and he went to florida tonight so he could be in place for a rally tomorrow. he may regret going there at all because he'll be coming back to the white house to monitor the storm, but it's going to be halting a lot of political activity going forward into wednesday. maybe even thursday, but right now the white house is looking at canceling even more events, potentially another event that the president was going to be having in wisconsin on tuesday night. so, it looks like we're coming to a stand still for a couple of days here. >> geraldo: so, you have both governor romney and president obama trying to balance the fact that the election is eight, nine days away, with the, first of all, the perception that they have to be paying attention, they have to be-- the pres
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than anywhe anyw
were all over the crucial state of ohio. president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real change. >> do you want 32 more months of private sector job growth? romney sure has a funny way of showing change, doesn't he? take a look at romney's surrogates at tonight's ohio victory rally. former secretary of state condoleezza rice, former labor secretary elaine chao, bobby jindal, tom ridge and also ohio senator rob portman. all five of these folks worked with the bush administration. in fact, mitt romney's campaign is looking more and more like the bush white house every day. romney even pulled out the old dick cheney trick of scaring voters before an electio
. >> president obama this morning ohio with several camping event scheduled across the state. challenger mitt on keyis also focusing states, first in ohio.sin and then then >> this is an election of great consequence. i think you understand that. clerk thursday new york city mayor michael bloomberg endorsed president obama. t will have an i impact is not clear. many people aboard cast their ballots thanks to early voting. this race could come down to every last vote. new numbers show this race is as ever among likely voters. new polls in three battleground states have the president on top. >> i know what change looks like because i fought for it. you have too. after all we've been through together, we cannot give up now. >> we will win on november 6. maryland code the governor decided executive order to help tampering by hurricane apply for absentee ballots. they may be e-mail to register voters who request them before 5:00 p.m. monday. those voters must attest they residentf the county because of sandy. s must be mailed election day and must be received by the local elections will later than
makes ohio very tough state to call. i personally i would give the edge to obama, but that is me reading tea leaves as you said. i do believe in the end ohio we'll be looking at the winner of ohio as the next president of the united states. >> greta: i think everyone feels terrible what is happening to the eastern seaboard. it's gone farther west on the hurricane and inflicted blizzard. but politically, is this something that is to the advantage of the president. can they actually move a point or two? >> i think first, it froze the race. there has not been a lot of movement. the media has been focused on sandy and less on the presidential campaign. second of all, think it's going to affect, it can affect turnout but most places like new jersey and new york. i'm not sure it's going to have an effect. on the other hand the president is getting good marks and governor chris christie, keeps bragging what a great job doing that. it can't hurt the president with that happening. maybe he gains a point on approval but it's way to early to know. in key places like ohio, i'm not sure it's going to
. the president has other ways to get there if he loses ohio. >> greta: joe, thank you. coming up the obama administration, did they deliberately mislead americans about libya. that is the question. new poll asks questions. and just when you think you saw every campaign ad. a new campaign ad will make you a new campaign ad will make you wonder if thereeeeeee those surprising little things she does still make you te notice. there are a million reasons why. but your erectile dysfunction that could be a question of blood flow. cialis for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently or urgently. tell your doctor about all your medical conditions and medications, and ask if your heart is healthy enough for sexual activity. do not take cialis if you take nitrates for chest pain, as this may cause an unsafe drop in blood essure. do not dnk alcohol in excess with cialis. side effects may include headache, upset sto
, the momentum, now seems pro-obama. pennsylvania will hold, ohio looks good but close, and all the battlegrounds look winnable for the president. the huge question is turnout, that and rational self-interest. the young who believe in science, women who believe in protecting their rights, latinos who can see a brighter future with a supportive president all need to get out, show up, and vote. there's no reward for a failure. in a free society, a democratic society is a failure. deeply personal, you blew it if you don't vote. let's see where it stands. i'm joined by mother jones washington bureau chief david corn and joy reid. do you think i'm a little strong? >> no. >> i don't want to talk to anybody after this election if they haven't bothered to vote. with four days to go president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want m
to get there if he loses ohio. >> greta: joe, thank you. coming up the obama administration, did they deliberately mislead americans about libya. that is the question. new poll asks questions. and just when you think you saw every campaign ad. a new campaign ad will make you wonder if there are any limits. that is just two minutes away. ♪ [ male announcer ] it started long ago. the joy of giving something everything you've got. it takes passion. and it's not letting up anytime soon. at unitedhealthcare insurance company, we understand that commitment. and always have. so does aarp, an organization serving the needs of americans 50 and over for generations. so it's no surprise millions have chosen an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, they help cover some of the expenses medicare doesn't pay. and save you up to thousands in out-of-pocket costs. to find out more, request your free decision guide. call or go online today. after all, when you're going the distance, it's nice to hav
president obama and mitt romney made their closing arguments today at multiple stops in ohio and wisconsin. take a look at some of the sights and sounds from this day of campaigning. ♪ >> in this campaign he's tried as hard as he can to repackage, to repackage these same policies and offer them up as change. >> do you want more of the same or do you want real change? >> giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. >> and we need real change. >> another $5 trillion tax cut that favors the wealthy, that's not change. >> president obama has tried to convince folks that these last four years have been a success. >> by the way, when you try to change the facts just because they're inconvenient to your campaign, that's definitely not change. gee wants to take all the ideas from the first term, you know, the stimulus, the borrowing, obama care, all the rest, and then go back and do it all over again. >> you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know what i believe. >> we're four days away from a fresh start, four days away from the first day of a new begi
points more democrats than republicans. similarly ohio 5 point margin for obama. 8 point advantage for the democrats. 8 points in 2008. does anybody think ohio is going to be as democrat as it was in 2008. 2 points for obama. 8 point democrat in 2008. six points democrat. does anybody think it's going to be as good as it was in 2008. at mildly that's called absurd. >> bill: let me run it down for the folks. all the polls say, all of them say that prib voters are more motivated this time around. so when when mr. rove says do you think it's going to be the same democratic turnout in ohio as it was in 2008. the answer based on the data is no. because republicans are more motivated this time around than they were. secondly, when you poll, you take a political affiliation of people you call. as mr. rove just told us on his little board, his little white board he takes everywhere they poll more democrats in each of the three swing states than republicans. all right? but the folks don't know that because the "new york times" doesn't put that in the headline. so, my question to you is, do
times" poll out today shows president obama doing very well in florida, ohio, virginia. dick morris going to have thoughts on that later. but, do you take that poll seriously? >> no, i don't take those three polls seriously. here is why. in florida, they have obama ahead by 1 point. they have seven points more democrats than republicans. even in 2008 there were only 3 points more democrats than republicans. similarly ohio 5 point margin for obama. 8 point advantage for the democrats. 8 points in 2008. does anybody think ohio is going to be as democrat as it was in 2008. 2 points for obama. 8 point democrat in 2008. six points democrat. does anybody think it's going to be as good as it was in .008. at mildly that's called absurd. >> bill: let me run it down for the folks. all the polls say, all of them say that prib voters are more motivated this time around. so when when mr. rove says do you think it's going to be the same democratic turnout in ohio as it was in 2008. the answer based on the data is no. because republicans are more motivated this time around than they were. secondly
important ohio is. president obama holding a four-point lead in this new poll, slightly outside the margin of error and significantly right at the crucial 50% mark. so the question is, what is driving the numbers in ohio right now? chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our survey, the president has a narrow lead among ohio voters who define themselves as independents. that is the battleground in a big battleground state, if you win the independents you are likely to win. governor romney close but the president with an important edge among independent voters. there's also an age divide, if you look at likely voters in ohio. among voters under the
without ohio, and that's why the obama camp has made it a fire wall, which is the reversal of political trends in the past. usually ohio is the republican firewall in the election. a couple things, the fact that ohio use unemployment rate is lower than the nation's, very rare, hasn't happened in decades. obama campaign has invested heavily in early voting, president obama had a very significant lead among those voters, so the romney camp is going to be all about election day. that's their -- that's their long ball but it could not be closer. every vote matters here in ohio. both camps doing everything they can to get out their vote on tuesday. >> every vote matters everywh e everywhere. get out and vote, everybody. vote early. we'll talk to you again at 1:00 eastern time so i'll see you again soon. thanks for dropping by. a smaller more efficient government or an invisible hand to assist and protect those in need? president obama and mitt romney, guys, they have very fundamentally different visions of government and what it should do for you. it is capitalism on trial. which version wi
and that it won reelection for president obama. >> do you think we're talking too much about ohio? listen, you've got the romney campaign saying they're looking at pennsylvania, minnesota, that they perhaps have some traction there. and we know the new numbers in florida. we'll talk with marc about that throe show at least a difference in polls from the nbc marist poll and local polls show romney is up more than we're indicating. >> first of all, i think both sides genuinely think they're going to win or certainly think they have a great chance of winning. that said, pennsylvania has always been fool's gold for republicans. it looks tempting at the end. they might go for it. >> sounds good on paper. >> but they don't get it. now if the new nbc marist poll is correct about florida, florida can decide it before we even, you know, do the late-night counting of the absentee ballots out of cleveland. i mean because florida, if that goes for president obama, that's pretty much the story, i think. >> mr. caputo, let me bring new you've in on this. the poll shows two point ahead for governor romney in
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
,000 vote flip which is the margin by which obama won ohio in 2008. secondly, ohio is a republican state. 20 of the last 24 years we had republican governors. the legislature is overwhelmingly republican. every elected member of the supreme court of ohio is republican. 75% of elected officials in 88 counties are republicans. and thirdly, by independent voting measures, 10% to 15% of independent voters in ohio are going to vote for mitt romney. and also the catholic church when i go to saint sin vent in kenwood in since is national the minister is telling us vote for religious freedom. vote for the biblical definition of marriage. vote for life. there is half a million catholics energized in south, ohio, to pull the lever for mitt romney. mitt romney will win, ohio, and is going to win ohio easily. >> sean: wisconsin? >> wisconsin will go for romney because what walker did and what ryan did made it possible for mitt romney to win wisconsin. let's face it, tonight in westchester, 30,000 people came to butler county, ohio, the most important county and the most important state in the the union
. or your money back. >>> we are awaiting president obama's campaign appearance in ohio. we have been discussing what a romney administration would look like should he win. i need a little disclaimer for the church crowd that believes he can speak things into being. i am not trying to manifest a romney win. i think we better know what we are facing. here is a new ad that the obama campaign has put out just on the web. it hints at just how bad a romney white house could be for some of us. >> back in washington, the supreme court decided it would hear arguments in a case as a vehicle for reversing roe v. wade which they say is all but certain in the wake of president nominee joining the high court. the ad goes on for about three minutes. it is kind of this fake news report of what 100 days into a romney presidency looks like. it includes the massive deficit but also the possible overturn of roe v. wade, the end of epa, all of these other kind of social issues, the social security voucher system. realistically, presidents don't have complete control over the economy despite the fact that
that. he's competitive in ohio. this is a dead heat. statistically a dead heat between romney and obama. very puzzling to hear how this is going over here. >> and just to add to that, the swing voters we're talking to here, there is a sense that this issue resonated. the front pages, the local newspaper here is about romney on the auto industry. >> people are mad. >> and it is registering as an unforced error. people take it very personally here, their jobs, their local economy is connected to the auto bailout and stimulus package according to the mayor here. >> yeah. and, john, listen, the president has a tough sell. it may be an easier sell for mitt romney and the reason i say that is because when everyone is running for president, they can say i'm going to do this. you heard mayor romney saying i'm going to open up the keystone pipeline, this and this and this and this. it is tougher for the president to say i'm going to do more of what we have been doing so the economy at least grows a little bit. so do you think, john, or -- either one of you guys, do you think voters get that part
, lester. it is really no surprise that president obama is kicking off the weekend here in ohio. this state is really key to his midwest firewall. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio, it is very unlikely that he will hold on to the presidency. according to our latest nbc news "wall street journal" marist poll, president obama has an honest lead here in ohio. let's take a look at the latest numbers. according to our poll, president obama has a six-point lead in the buckeye state, which is unchanged from last month. he's gotten high marks after hurricane sandy with seven in ten voters approving of his handling of the storm and he has a slight edge when it comes to handling the economy. 48% say mr. obama would do a better job compared to 46% who side with romney. on friday, mr. obama made a three-stop blitz here in ohio, staking his closing argument on the auto bailout, which is widely popular here. and which republicans oppose. he also slammed romney for claiming that jeep is shipping jobs to china. it's a claim the romney campaign defends that has been widely discredited. take a listen to what p
president obama. 46% of ohio's likely voters support mitt romney. it is that close. and, of course, in ohio, every single vote is valuable. ballots are guarded and tracked with ferocious precision. but i got a behind the scenes up close look in one county to see how the ballots are actually counted. here it is. in person -- >> name, two forms of i.d., signature, looks good. >> reporter: or by mail, all ballots in hamilton county, ohio, end up here, election headquarters. >> so this is when the absentee ballots come back from the post office. we have the clerks who scan them back in and check them for making sure they're valid. >> reporter: processed by an army of staff, volunteers, and machines. norman jr.'s turn now. a brand-new machine named after the character in the movie psycho, because of this noise. norman scans, photographs, and separates ballots into precincts. >> we start with mail buckets and just toss them all in. >> reporter: are you happy to have this machine? >> with this many ballots, yes. >> reporter: now downstairs to the inspectors. this is it? >> this is it. this is wher
and wisconsin later today. meanwhile, president obama is in a holding pattern, kangs ling events in ohio and florida to return to washington and monitor the storm. the white house canceled the president's trip to wisconsin scheduled for tomorrow. but while voters won't see him on the trail they will see him in the role of commander in chief including later this hour when he delivers a statement on the hurricane from the white house. and perhaps voters will be wondering how a president romney might handle the very same situation. one indication comes from a primary debate in june of last year, when governor romney made the case for shutting down fema and passing the responsibility on to the states. >> fema is about to run out of money and some people say do it on a case-by-case basis and some who say maybe we're learning a lesson here the states should take on more of this role. >> absolutely. every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states, that's the right direction. and if you can go even further and send it back to the priva
and then we'll hear the president speak. both mitt romney and obama, he is going to start in ohio today, and spending the day in ohio. romney will go to wisconsin first and then head to ohio. he'll be getting a lot of love over the weekend. what is interesting is both candidates have op-eds appearing on cnn.com today. mitt romney's a very routine, it seems to reiterate all of the same stuff. that he will create 12 million new jobs -- 12 million jobs will be created anyway. more of the same. and he has now taken on the idea that he is going to create real change. i can't believe it's not change. he has got real change compared to the president's change. >> stephanie: i thought he was going to call it of course i never said detroit should go bankrupt. >> sure. the president starts out by talking about how we have come together as a nation after this hurricane, and how we have to continue to where we were before. we'll be right back. day. besides, you can always dvr my show. you really cant' dvr the future of the country. to help you make informed decisions, watch current tv
obama has maintained a small but a very consistent lead in ohio. i don't know of any poll that has shown the president not leading over the last few months, as a matter of fact. >> do you think it counts for the rise of independence? >> we have a good ground operation. >> what do you think -- >> i'm sorry? >> what do you think accounts for the rise of independents towards the romney campaign? what's going on there? >> i'm not sure there are many true independents. i think people who even refer to themselves as independents typically feel some kind of allegiance to one of the major parties or the other. ohio is a very closely divided state, but ohio's unemployment, as you know, is 7%. the auto industry, which ohioans value greatly and provides a lot of jobs for our people is doing really well, and thanks to the president, and so i think ohioans are feeling -- i think they think our economy is coming back. >> any credit to your republican governor? >> i'm sorry? >> do you give any credit for that economy to your republican governor? >> i think two -- >> i do, candy. >> well, candy, i think
states. ohio and florida. the latest nbc news "wall street journal" m.arist poll shows president obama holding on a six-point lead among likely voters in the buckeye state. meanwhile in florida an creamily tight race there two points separating the candidates with the president ahead in the sunshine states 49 to 47%. so much of this race, of course, depends on these two states. ohio and florida. for some insight i want to bring in our nbc news deputy political editor. let's start with ohio good friend. if mitt romney can't win in ohio what would his path to 270, what would his path to victory have to look like. >> makes it very narrow for mitt romney. if president obama wins ohio he's at 261 electoral votes based on our battleground map. if mitt romney gets virginia and florida he's stuck to 248. new hampshire where he owns a home but the president probably a finger on the scale now we're at 261-261 and we've been talking all along about the midwest and importance of ohio, wisconsin and iowa and the necessity for mitt romney to win two of those three. look at that right there. you got
suspended. but the lies continue in ohio. >> obama took gm and chrysler into bankruptcy and sold chrysler to italians who are going to build jeeps in china. >> former governor ted strickland on mitt romney's last desperate gasp to fool the buckeye state. those surprising little things she does still make you take notice. there are a million reasons why. but your erectile dysfunction that could be a question of blood flow. cialis for daily use helps you be ready anytime the moment's right. you can be more confident in your ability to be ready. and the same cialis is the only daily ed tablet approved to treat ed and symptoms of bph, like needing to go frequently or urgently. tell your doctor about all your medical conditions and medications, and ask if your heart is healthy enough for sexual activity. do not take cialis if you take nitrates for chest pain, as this may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. do not drink alcohol in excess with cialis. side effects may include headache, upset stomach, delayed backache or muscle ache. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for
: on his way to ohio, romney stopped in wisconsin where he is polling five points behind. >> can obama promise to do so very much, but he has fallen so very short. >> reporter: he pledged unemployment down to 5% by now. >> today we learned it's actually 7.9%. unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. think of that. >> reporter: governor romney has two stops in ohio today. president obama three. and they'll both be back before tuesday. both candidates campaigning as if they believe that any letup and they'll lose ohio and lose the election. live from washington, i'm steve handelsman, nbc bay area news. raj? >> steve, thank you. here in california now, a new field poll is out on prop 34 which would end the death penalty. the poll finds that 45% of likely voters support stopping executions. 38% oppose the idea. 17% are undecided. the poll also finds that support for prop 34 is increasing, up four points since last month. and the voters are increasingly swayed by the costs of maintaining death row and all the court appeals that go with it. nbc by area's susan shaw wi
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